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Adhera Therapeutics, Inc. (ATRX)·Q3 2018 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2018 marked Adhera’s first quarter with recorded product revenue, driven by the U.S. commercialization of PRESTALIA; net sales were $0.08M, gross profit $0.07M, but the quarter posted a net loss of $7.78M and EPS of $(0.69), primarily due to a $4.79M goodwill/intangible impairment and elevated launch-related OpEx .
  • Management executed a strategic pivot from R&D to commercialization: 20-person sales team hired, PrestaliaDirect launched on the DyrctAxess platform, and new leadership added (CEO, CFO, Chairman) to support the commercial model .
  • Balance sheet strengthened via preferred-stock financings; cash rose to $6.51M, AR $0.13M, inventory $0.36M, and current liabilities fell to $2.19M following debt settlements; working capital improved to ~$5.27M .
  • No formal financial guidance or earnings call transcript was available; Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable, limiting beat/miss analysis .
  • Near-term stock catalysts are likely tied to PRESTALIA uptake progression, resolution of Apotex generic litigation, and further capital planning to sustain commercialization ramp .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “The third quarter represented a strategic shift away from R&D and into commercialization… launched our first commercial product—PRESTALIA” (Robert Moscato, CEO) .
  • Commercial KPIs: >500 bottles sold to pharmacy partners; >150 physicians wrote >600 prescriptions in early months of commercialization—evidence of initial demand .
  • Organizational build-out: headquarters relocation to Research Triangle Park, NC; addition of experienced leadership (CEO Robert Moscato Jr., CFO Eric Teague, Chairman Uli Hacksell); 20-person sales team deployed with state-of-the-art technology .

What Went Wrong

  • Operating expenses surged to $7.85M (+$6.81M YoY) driven by a non-cash goodwill/intangible impairment of $4.79M and higher G&A ($2.14M, including ~$1.31M stock comp) and sales/marketing ($0.87M) tied to the launch, producing a net loss of $7.78M .
  • Margin optics are weak at the onset: while gross margin on recognized sales was ~89.8%, net income and EBIT margins were deeply negative given small revenue and large impairment/OpEx .
  • Ongoing legal overhang: Apotex paragraph IV litigation around PRESTALIA patents remains in process, with settlement terms still pending execution, creating uncertainty around long-term exclusivity .

Financial Results

Income Statement vs prior quarters and prior year

MetricQ1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018
Revenue ($USD)$0 $0 $76,186
Gross Profit ($USD)N/A (no revenue) N/A (no revenue) $68,426
Gross Margin (%)N/A N/A 89.8% (68,426/76,186)
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$1,216,425 $3,768,295 $7,847,885
Operating Income / EBIT ($USD)$(1,216,425) $(3,768,295) $(7,779,459)
EBIT Margin (%)N/A N/A -10,209% (−7,779,459/76,186)
Net Income ($USD)$(1,361,169) $(4,648,148) $(7,779,459)
Net Income Margin (%)N/A N/A -10,210% (−7,779,459/76,186)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.13) $(0.43) $(0.69)

Notes:

  • YoY reference for Q3: Q3 2017 net loss $(972,184), EPS $(0.10); no revenues recorded .
  • Gross margin and EBIT/net margins are computed from reported figures; early commercialization yields limited scale vs fixed costs and impairment .

KPIs (Commercial Launch Indicators)

KPIQ3 2018
Bottles sold to pharmacy partners>500
Prescriptions written>600
Prescribing physicians>150

Balance Sheet Highlights

MetricDec 31, 2017Sep 30, 2018
Cash ($USD)$106,378 $6,506,127
Accounts Receivable ($USD)$0 $135,150
Inventory ($USD)$0 $364,851
Total Current Assets ($USD)$124,943 $7,454,372
Total Current Liabilities ($USD)$5,735,503 $2,185,238
Working Capital ($USD)$(5,610,560) $5,269,134
Notes Payable (current) ($USD)$444,223 $0

Drivers:

  • Cash increased via Series E/F preferred financings; liabilities declined due to debt settlements and related-party paydowns .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/QuarterlyNone providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)
MarginsFY/QuarterlyNone providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)
OpExFY/QuarterlyNone providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)
Other (OI&E, tax, dividends)FY/QuarterlyNone providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)

No formal numerical guidance was communicated in filings; management commentary focused on strategy and commercialization build-out .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2018)Current Period (Q3 2018)Trend
Commercial shift vs R&DAnnounced pivot to commercialize PRESTALIA; no revenue recognized yet; building platform and financing (Series E) First recorded net sales, early demand KPIs; continued organizational build-out Improving commercialization traction
Distribution model/technologyDyrctAxess described as Total Care platform underpinning commercial strategy PrestaliaDirect launched; DyrctAxess powers patient membership program Execution progressing
Legal/regulatoryApotex paragraph IV challenge noted; settlement terms pending execution Litigation progress/anticipation of resolution continues Ongoing overhang
Financing/liquiditySeries E closed ($~12M net); debt conversions and warrants; improved working capital at Q2 Additional Series F raise; cash $6.51M; liabilities reduced; working capital ~$5.27M Strengthened near term liquidity
Leadership & governanceCEO transition to Robert Moscato; Chairman Uli Hacksell; board/management changes CFO Eric Teague appointed; HQ moved to RTP; board addition Nancy Phelan Team consolidated for commercialization
R&D executionR&D expense declining as resources reallocated to commercialization R&D further deprioritized; impairment tied to asset divestment R&D downshift

No earnings call transcript was available; themes derived from the press release and 10‑Q MD&A -.

Management Commentary

  • “The third quarter represented a strategic shift away from R&D and into commercialization… launched our first commercial product—PRESTALIA” — Robert Moscato, Jr., CEO .
  • Corporate highlights emphasize DyrctAxess-powered PrestaliaDirect, patient cost-capping, monitoring devices, and direct-to-patient shipping aimed at improving adherence and outcomes .

Q&A Highlights

N/A – No Q3 2018 earnings call transcript found; analysis based on the 8‑K press release and the Q3 10‑Q .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for ATRX this quarter; therefore, comparative beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed.
  • Coverage limitations for OTCQB microcaps and the strategic transition phase likely contributed to sparse third‑party estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Early commercialization traction is visible but subscale; expect operating leverage only if prescription volumes scale meaningfully against fixed costs and launch OpEx .
  • The large non-cash impairment is a one-time hit tied to strategic asset divestment; monitor future impairment risks amid portfolio focus shifts .
  • Liquidity improved through preferred financings and debt settlements, but the company signaled potential need for additional capital to sustain commercial ramp; dilution risk remains a consideration .
  • Legal resolution of Apotex’s generic challenge is a medium-term catalyst affecting PRESTALIA’s U.S. economics; watch for settlement execution .
  • Organizational upgrades (CEO, CFO, Chairman, sales force, RTP headquarters) should enhance commercial execution; track prescription and bottle velocity and physician adoption as primary KPIs .
  • Near-term trading likely hinges on incremental commercial datapoints (prescriptions, refill rates), financing signals, and litigation updates rather than GAAP profitability, given low revenue base vs OpEx .
  • Without guidance or consensus estimates, investors should build bottoms-up scenarios on PRESTALIA uptake, margin trajectory, and cash runway under varying commercialization pace assumptions .